Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.403862 0.460131 0.520197 0.588949 0.665327 0.747429 0.842216
2025-11-23 0.311533 0.388058 0.475909 0.583643 0.711580 0.858011 1.037604
2025-11-30 0.252754 0.342234 0.452089 0.595455 0.776033 0.994234 1.275943
2025-12-07 0.201235 0.295484 0.418889 0.589635 0.816682 1.104825 1.494204
2025-12-14 0.165862 0.262909 0.397833 0.594763 0.869687 1.234027 1.746313
2025-12-21 0.134307 0.229562 0.369959 0.585616 0.900774 1.335507 1.969352
2025-12-28 0.117208 0.214346 0.365121 0.607260 0.975282 1.500452 2.289758
2026-01-04 0.102903 0.200763 0.360282 0.627319 1.048096 1.667350 2.623834
2026-01-11 0.088024 0.183337 0.346496 0.631021 1.095367 1.799301 2.915244
2026-01-18 0.075308 0.167262 0.332343 0.631719 1.136802 1.924046 3.202578
2026-01-25 0.064339 0.152293 0.317727 0.629319 1.171953 2.040217 3.482640
2026-02-01 0.055618 0.140032 0.306066 0.630196 1.211668 2.164992 3.782074
2026-02-08 0.048267 0.129329 0.296042 0.633189 1.255754 2.300715 4.109013
2026-02-15 0.041096 0.117507 0.282055 0.627008 1.282826 2.409746 4.398920
2026-02-22 0.036634 0.111051 0.278000 0.639222 1.343602 2.578728 4.796261
2026-03-01 0.031313 0.101263 0.265381 0.632823 1.369052 2.688107 5.099210
2026-03-08 0.027592 0.094752 0.258945 0.638135 1.416668 2.838552 5.479299
2026-03-15 0.023453 0.086053 0.246117 0.628335 1.433791 2.935062 5.770364
2026-03-22 0.021699 0.083840 0.248329 0.651264 1.517286 3.156315 6.290839
2026-03-29 0.020022 0.081464 0.249772 0.672520 1.598741 3.377855 6.821658
2026-04-05 0.017725 0.076512 0.243930 0.676426 1.644496 3.534736 7.242726
2026-04-12 0.015586 0.071490 0.237094 0.677153 1.683359 3.680212 7.649098
2026-04-19 0.013601 0.066419 0.229293 0.674598 1.714738 3.812528 8.036571